Recent Polls Show Drop in Support for One Nation and the Coalition
New polling indicates a decline in combined support for One Nation and the Coalition, while Labor and the Greens have seen a rise in voter backing. The shifts in primary vote and favourability ratings highlight evolving public sentiment toward key political leaders and policies.
Highlights
- •Combined support for One Nation and the Coalition has fallen in recent national polling.
- •Newspoll data shows Labor and Greens support rising as the Coalition hits a record low.
- •Pauline Hanson's net favourability dropped significantly following her recent National Press Club address.
- •Labor has extended its two-party preferred leads over its main political opponents across national surveys.
Recent national political polling data indicates a noticeable shift in voter sentiment, with combined support for One Nation and the Coalition experiencing a decline in the week following a major public address by Pauline Hanson on June 17. Two prominent surveys, Newspoll and Redbridge, both recorded drops in backing for these groups, suggesting that the impact of recent political discourse is affecting public opinion.
According to the Newspoll conducted between June 22 and June 25 with a sample of 1,235 participants, support for the Coalition fell by one point to a record low of 17%, while One Nation saw a two-point dip to 29%. Conversely, the Labor Party increased its primary vote to 33%, and the Greens rose to 13%. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese saw his net approval rating improve by seven points to -17, while Angus Taylor faced a significant decline, with his net approval falling ten points to a record low of -20.
Shifts in Voter Preference and Approval Ratings
The Redbridge and Accent Research poll, which surveyed 1,006 respondents between June 22 and June 26, mirrored these findings. It showed Labor at 30% of the primary vote and the Greens at 14%. The four-point combined decline for One Nation and the Coalition effectively translated into gains for the left. Consequently, Labor’s respondent-allocated two-party lead over One Nation expanded to 56–44, and their lead over the Coalition reached 54–46.
In addition to these trends, Pauline Hanson’s net favourability rating in the Redbridge poll slumped by ten points to -10. Barnaby Joyce also saw a seven-point drop to -24. When asked about critical issues, the right-leaning parties continued to lead on immigration and economic management, while the left-leaning parties maintained an advantage on healthcare policy. These findings reflect a dynamic political landscape where public perception is rapidly evolving in response to leadership performance and policy messaging.
Further context from the South Australian state polling conducted by DemosAU and Ace Strategies—the first such poll since the March election—indicates that Labor maintains a lead over One Nation after preferences, at 56–44. Premier Peter Malinauskas continues to command a positive net approval rating of +22, despite a seven-point decrease. Meanwhile, opposition figures like Ashton Hurn and Cory Bernardi saw their net approval scores decline, highlighting the ongoing challenges for conservative leadership in the current political environment.
